Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.032559 0.037702 0.043403 0.050194 0.058064 0.066905 0.077595
2026-01-11 0.024393 0.031102 0.039286 0.050013 0.063725 0.080692 0.103328
2026-01-18 0.019867 0.027263 0.036970 0.050665 0.069535 0.094693 0.130903
2026-01-25 0.017034 0.024826 0.035684 0.051959 0.075815 0.109634 0.161465
2026-02-01 0.014170 0.021742 0.032851 0.050385 0.077488 0.117994 0.183523
2026-02-08 0.012273 0.019714 0.031140 0.050029 0.080642 0.128608 0.210060
2026-02-15 0.010735 0.017974 0.029560 0.049535 0.083336 0.138626 0.236758
2026-02-22 0.009724 0.016919 0.028886 0.050335 0.088114 0.152430 0.271377
2026-03-01 0.008697 0.015681 0.027716 0.050085 0.090978 0.163233 0.302094
2026-03-08 0.007658 0.014276 0.026065 0.048729 0.091632 0.170129 0.326515
2026-03-15 0.006764 0.013010 0.024492 0.047285 0.091877 0.176202 0.350034
2026-03-22 0.006278 0.012446 0.024134 0.048062 0.096390 0.190746 0.391792
2026-03-29 0.005759 0.011765 0.023491 0.048245 0.099846 0.203835 0.432812
2026-04-05 0.005287 0.011118 0.022839 0.048326 0.103114 0.216977 0.475843
2026-04-12 0.004927 0.010657 0.022502 0.049010 0.107711 0.233406 0.528182
2026-04-19 0.004658 0.010351 0.022443 0.050273 0.113704 0.253521 0.591461
2026-04-26 0.004182 0.009534 0.021197 0.048752 0.113293 0.259502 0.623118
2026-05-03 0.003851 0.009001 0.020510 0.048408 0.115515 0.271668 0.671025
2026-05-10 0.003545 0.008489 0.019806 0.047931 0.117352 0.283141 0.718804
2026-05-17 0.003353 0.008222 0.019636 0.048705 0.122300 0.302611 0.789279
2026-05-24 0.003115 0.007813 0.019081 0.048463 0.124692 0.316115 0.846274
2026-05-31 0.002836 0.007272 0.018147 0.047152 0.124193 0.322298 0.884766
2026-06-07 0.002581 0.006759 0.017223 0.045755 0.123293 0.327334 0.920860